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Serie B · Regular Season - 1 · Italy

Empoli v Cremonese

1-0Full time· Carlo Castellani, Empoli· Referee: Paride Tremolada, Italy

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Empoli v Cremonese: the model read

Empoli meet Cremonese in the Serie B regular season - 1 at Carlo Castellani, Empoli.

The baseline ratings are close, 1444 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Empoli, 45% against 36%. Attacking output favors Empoli on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 39%. Draw no bet leans Empoli at 54%; double chance reads Empoli or draw 69%, Cremonese or draw 63%.

Empoli arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Mantova, W 1-0 v Cremonese, D 1-1 @ Pisa, D 1-1 @ Livorno.

Cremonese are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Modena, L 0-1 @ Empoli, W 2-0 v Sampdoria, D 0-0 v Lumezzane.

Empoli hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Empoli 1-0 Cremonese.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Empoli

DDDWL4-9-6

Scored 1.21 · Conceded 1.37 · Clean sheets 15.8% · BTTS 68.4%

  • LAMantova1-3
  • WHCremonese1-0
  • DAPisa1-1
  • DALivorno1-1
  • DHSpezia1-1

Cremonese

DDWLL5-3-10

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.44 · Clean sheets 38.9% · BTTS 33.3%

  • LHModena0-3
  • LAEmpoli0-1
  • WHSampdoria2-0
  • DHLumezzane0-0
  • DHCittadella1-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

EmpolirecordCremonese
4
2
4 draws

Goals

12-9

for each

Avg goals

2.1

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

20%

3+ goals

Empoli

Recent
WLWDWW
Wins 4Goals 12-9

Biggest win 2-0

Cremonese

Recent
LWLDLL
Wins 2Goals 9-12

Biggest win 1-0

  • Empoli1-0Cremonese
  • Cremonese1-0Empoli
  • Empoli2-0Cremonese
  • Cremonese2-2Empoli
  • Empoli1-0Cremonese
  • Cremonese2-3Empoli
  • Cremonese1-0Empoli
  • Empoli1-1Cremonese
  • Empoli1-1Cremonese
  • Cremonese1-1Empoli

Managers

Fabio Caserta

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Marco Giampaolo

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.