Where the market is wrong on Santa Ana v CS Uruguay
Santa Ana meet CS Uruguay in the Liga de Ascenso regular season - 4 at Estadio de Piedades, Santa Ana.
The baseline ratings are close, 1474 to 1480, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 44% against 45%. Attacking output favors Santa Ana on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 74%, over 2.5 goals around 76%. Draw no bet leans CS Uruguay at 53%; double chance reads Santa Ana or draw 62%, CS Uruguay or draw 66%.
Santa Ana arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v CS Uruguay, W 3-2 @ AD Carmelita, W 1-0 v Aserri FC, W 3-2 v Aserri FC.
CS Uruguay are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Santa Ana, L 1-2 @ Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC, L 0-1 v Cariari Pococi, D 2-2 v AD Carmelita.
Santa Ana hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Santa Ana 3-1 CS Uruguay.
The market prices SAN at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on CS Uruguay: a 13.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
