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Liga de Ascenso · Regular Season - 4 · Costa-Rica

ADR Jicaral v Santa Cruz FC

4-1Full time

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on ADR Jicaral v Santa Cruz FC

ADR Jicaral meet Santa Cruz FC in the Liga de Ascenso regular season - 4.

ADR Jicaral rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1420. Recent form leans ADR Jicaral, 71% against 39%. Attacking output favors ADR Jicaral on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans ADR Jicaral at 68%; double chance reads ADR Jicaral or draw 77%, Santa Cruz FC or draw 51%.

ADR Jicaral arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Santa Cruz FC, W 1-0 @ AD Cofutpa, D 1-1 v AD Sarchí, W 1-0 @ Aserri FC.

Santa Cruz FC are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ ADR Jicaral, L 1-2 v Municipal Grecia, W 3-1 v AD Cofutpa, L 0-4 @ Quepos Cambute.

The market prices ADR at 65% implied. Our number sits apart on Santa Cruz FC: a 8.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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ADR Jicaral

DWDWW11-5-3

Scored 1.58 · Conceded 0.79 · Clean sheets 42.1% · BTTS 42.1%

  • WHSanta Cruz FC4-1
  • WAAD Cofutpa1-0
  • DHAD Sarchí1-1
  • WAAserri FC1-0
  • DHInter San Carlos0-0

Santa Cruz FC

LLWLL4-6-8

Scored 1.22 · Conceded 1.72 · Clean sheets 16.7% · BTTS 66.7%

  • LAADR Jicaral1-4
  • LHMunicipal Grecia1-2
  • WHAD Cofutpa3-1
  • LAQuepos Cambute0-4
  • LAEscorpiones Belén1-4

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.