Where the market is wrong on Parma W v Ternana W
Parma W meet Ternana W in the Serie A Women regular season - 2 at Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 23% against 30%. Attacking output favors Ternana W on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.7 per match.
Parma W arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 1 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Ternana W, D 0-0 @ Lazio W, L 0-1 @ Napoli W, L 0-2 @ Lazio W.
Ternana W are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Parma W, L 1-2 v Como W, L 0-2 @ Sassuolo W, L 1-3 @ Fiorentina W.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Parma W 1-2 Ternana W.
The market prices PAR at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Ternana W: a 7.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 67 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
