Where the market is wrong on Juventus W v Napoli W
Juventus W meet Napoli W in the Serie A Women regular season - 1 at Stadio Vittorio Pozzo, Biella.
Juventus W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1477. Recent form leans Juventus W, 70% against 48%. Attacking output favors Juventus W on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Juventus W arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Napoli W, L 1-2 v SL Benfica W, D 2-2 v Roma W, W 1-0 v Inter Milano W.
Napoli W are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Juventus W, W 1-0 v Parma W, L 0-6 @ Inter Milano W, L 2-4 @ Lazio W.
The market prices JUV at 66% implied. Our number sits apart on Napoli W: a 12.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
