GOR Mahia v Vipers

GOR Mahia meet Vipers in the CECAFA Club Cup group stage - 1. The model makes Vipers the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 28% GOR, 35% draw, 37% VIP.

The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1719, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Vipers, 83% against 73%. Attacking output favors Vipers on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 23%, over 2.5 goals around 16%. Draw no bet leans Vipers at 57%; double chance reads GOR Mahia or draw 63%, Vipers or draw 72%.

GOR Mahia arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Vipers, W 5-0 @ APR, L 0-1 v Nairobi United, D 0-0 @ Mara Sugar.

Vipers are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 9 scored and 0 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ GOR Mahia, W 3-0 v Al-Haras Al-Jumhuri, W 2-0 v Express, W 3-0 @ Maroons.

Vipers hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: GOR Mahia 0-1 Vipers.

The market prices GOR at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.