Where the market is wrong on Täfteå v Lucksta
Täfteå meet Lucksta in the Division 2 - Norrland norrland - promotion round.
Täfteå rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1431. Recent form leans Täfteå, 63% against 38%. Attacking output favors Täfteå on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 77%, over 2.5 goals around 91%. Draw no bet leans Täfteå at 69%; double chance reads Täfteå or draw 76%, Lucksta or draw 48%.
Täfteå arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Lucksta, L 1-3 @ Kubikenborg, L 0-2 v Skellefteå, L 1-2 @ Boden.
Lucksta are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Täfteå, L 0-1 @ IFK Östersund, L 1-3 v Kubikenborg, L 0-3 @ Skellefteå.
Täfteå hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Täfteå 4-1 Lucksta.
The market prices TÄF at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Täfteå: a 4.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 67 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
