Yunnan Yukun v Chongqing Tongliang Long: the model read
Yunnan Yukun meet Chongqing Tongliang Long in the FA Cup quarter-finals at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium, Yuxi. The model makes Chongqing Tongliang Long the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 34% YUN, 29% draw, 37% CHO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 57%. Attacking output favors Yunnan Yukun on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 71%, over 2.5 goals around 72%. Draw no bet leans Chongqing Tongliang Long at 52%; double chance reads Yunnan Yukun or draw 63%, Chongqing Tongliang Long or draw 66%.
Yunnan Yukun arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 14 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: W 4-3 v Sichuan Jiuniu, D 3-3 v Chengdu Better City, D 2-2 v SHANGHAI SIPG, L 3-4 @ Shandong Luneng.
Chongqing Tongliang Long are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Wuhan Three Towns, W 2-0 v Qingdao Youth Island, D 1-1 v Hangzhou Greentown, D 1-1 @ Chengdu Better City.
Chongqing Tongliang Long hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chongqing Tongliang Long 0-0 Yunnan Yukun.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
