Dinamo Minsk v ML Vitebsk: the model read
Dinamo Minsk meet ML Vitebsk in the Coppa round of 16 at Stadion Dinamo, Minsk. The model makes Dinamo Minsk the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% DIN, 29% draw, 31% ML .
The baseline ratings are close, 1701 to 1611, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Dinamo Minsk, 78% against 64%. Attacking output favors ML Vitebsk on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans Dinamo Minsk at 56%; double chance reads Dinamo Minsk or draw 69%, ML Vitebsk or draw 60%.
Dinamo Minsk arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ Neftchi Baku, W 1-0 @ Sileks, L 0-1 v Sileks, W 3-0 @ FC Minsk.
ML Vitebsk are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Sutjeska, L 0-1 @ Universitatea Craiova, L 1-4 v Universitatea Craiova, W 4-2 @ Slavia Mozyr.
The market prices DIN at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 1.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
