Where the market is wrong on Felgueiras U23 v Estoril U23
Felgueiras U23 meet Estoril U23 in the Liga Revelação U23 regular season - 4.
Estoril U23 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1400. Recent form leans Estoril U23, 57% against 17%. Attacking output favors Estoril U23 on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.0 per match.
Felgueiras U23 arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-2L from their last five (1/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Estoril U23, L 1-2 @ Famalicão U23, L 0-2 v Sporting Braga U23.
Estoril U23 are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Felgueiras U23, W 2-1 v Moreirense U23, D 1-1 @ Farense U23, D 3-3 v Gil Vicente U23.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Felgueiras U23 2-2 Estoril U23.
The market prices FEL at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on Estoril U23: a 9.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 77 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
