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Napoli v Celta Vigo

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Napoli v Celta Vigo: the model read

Napoli meet Celta Vigo in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies.

Napoli rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1454. Recent form leans Napoli, 68% against 43%. Attacking output favors Napoli on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 64%. Draw no bet leans Napoli at 65%; double chance reads Napoli or draw 75%, Celta Vigo or draw 53%.

Napoli arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Como, W 2-0 @ Genoa, W 6-2 v Aris Thessalonikis, D 1-1 v Celta Vigo.

Celta Vigo are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Athletic Club, L 1-2 v Osasuna, D 0-0 @ Valencia, D 1-1 @ Napoli.

Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Napoli 1-1 Celta Vigo.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Napoli

WDWWL12-3-5

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 55%

  • LHComo1-2
  • WAGenoa2-0
  • WHAris Thessalonikis6-2
  • DHCelta Vigo1-1
  • WHOsasuna2-1

Celta Vigo

WDDLL6-5-9

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 1.65 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • LHAthletic Club0-2
  • LHOsasuna1-2
  • DAValencia0-0
  • DANapoli1-1
  • WASassuolo4-1

Head-to-head

1 meeting

NapolirecordCelta Vigo
0
0
1 draw

Goals

1-1

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Napoli

Recent
D
Wins 0Goals 1-1

Celta Vigo

Recent
D
Wins 0Goals 1-1
  • Napoli1-1Celta Vigo

Managers

M. Allegri

Italy · 58

In charge since 2026 · 7 teams managed

  • AC Milan2025–2026
  • Juventus2021–2024
  • Juventus2014–2019
  • AC Milan2010–2014

Claudio Giraldez

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.