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Pontefract Collieries v Guiseley AFC

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Pontefract Collieries v Guiseley AFC: the model read

Pontefract Collieries meet Guiseley AFC in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Pontefract Collieries the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% PON, 29% draw, 28% GUI.

Pontefract Collieries rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1686 to 1523. Recent form leans Pontefract Collieries, 76% against 53%. Attacking output favors Pontefract Collieries on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Pontefract Collieries at 61%; double chance reads Pontefract Collieries or draw 72%, Guiseley AFC or draw 57%.

Pontefract Collieries arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Dunston UTS, D 2-2 v AFC Emley, L 2-4 v Redcar Athletic, W 1-0 @ Garforth Town.

Guiseley AFC are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Blackburn Rovers U21, W 1-0 @ Garforth Town, W 2-0 v Stocksbridge Park Steels, W 2-0 @ Tadcaster Albion.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Pontefract Collieries

LWLDW12-5-2

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 42.1% · BTTS 57.9%

  • WADunston UTS2-1
  • DHAFC Emley2-2
  • LHRedcar Athletic2-4
  • WAGarforth Town1-0
  • LHLincoln United1-4

Guiseley AFC

LWWWW8-5-7

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • WHBlackburn Rovers U213-2
  • WAGarforth Town1-0
  • WHStocksbridge Park Steels2-0
  • WATadcaster Albion2-0
  • LHHarrogate Town1-2

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.