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Copa Argentina · Round of 16 · Argentina

Deportivo Riestra v Gimnasia L.P.

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Deportivo Riestra v Gimnasia L.P.: the model read

Deportivo Riestra meet Gimnasia L.P. in the Copa Argentina round of 16. The model makes Gimnasia L.P. the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 26% DEP, 35% draw, 39% GIM.

Gimnasia L.P. rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1408. Recent form leans Gimnasia L.P., 57% against 40%. Attacking output favors Gimnasia L.P. on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 23%, over 2.5 goals around 18%. Draw no bet leans Gimnasia L.P. at 60%; double chance reads Deportivo Riestra or draw 61%, Gimnasia L.P. or draw 74%.

Deportivo Riestra arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Boca Juniors, D 1-1 @ San Lorenzo, D 1-1 @ Palestino, L 1-4 @ Atletico Torque.

Gimnasia L.P. are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Racing Club, W 3-1 @ Dinamo Makhachkala, D 1-1 @ Zenit, L 0-2 @ River Plate.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Deportivo Riestra 1-0 Gimnasia L.P..

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Deportivo Riestra

LLDDW3-10-7

Scored 0.60 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 30%

  • WHBoca Juniors3-0
  • DASan Lorenzo1-1
  • DAPalestino1-1
  • LAAtletico Torque1-4
  • LHGremio0-3

Gimnasia L.P.

WLDWL10-3-7

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 45%

  • LARacing Club1-2
  • WADinamo Makhachkala3-1
  • DAZenit1-1
  • LARiver Plate0-2
  • WAVelez Sarsfield1-0

Head-to-head

4 meetings

Deportivo RiestrarecordGimnasia L.P.
1
1
2 draws

Goals

3-3

for each

Avg goals

1.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

25%

3+ goals

Deportivo Riestra

Recent
WDDL
Wins 1Goals 3-3

Biggest win 1-0

Gimnasia L.P.

Recent
LDDW
Wins 1Goals 3-3

Biggest win 2-1

  • Deportivo Riestra1-0Gimnasia L.P.
  • Gimnasia L.P.1-1Deportivo Riestra
  • Gimnasia L.P.0-0Deportivo Riestra
  • Gimnasia L.P.2-1Deportivo Riestra

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.