Deportivo Riestra v Gimnasia L.P.: the model read
Deportivo Riestra meet Gimnasia L.P. in the Copa Argentina round of 16. The model makes Gimnasia L.P. the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 26% DEP, 35% draw, 39% GIM.
Gimnasia L.P. rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1408. Recent form leans Gimnasia L.P., 57% against 40%. Attacking output favors Gimnasia L.P. on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 23%, over 2.5 goals around 18%. Draw no bet leans Gimnasia L.P. at 60%; double chance reads Deportivo Riestra or draw 61%, Gimnasia L.P. or draw 74%.
Deportivo Riestra arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Boca Juniors, D 1-1 @ San Lorenzo, D 1-1 @ Palestino, L 1-4 @ Atletico Torque.
Gimnasia L.P. are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Racing Club, W 3-1 @ Dinamo Makhachkala, D 1-1 @ Zenit, L 0-2 @ River Plate.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Deportivo Riestra 1-0 Gimnasia L.P..
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
