Al Wakrah v Al-Gharafa: the model read
Al Wakrah meet Al-Gharafa in the Stars League regular season - 5 at Al Janoub Stadium, Al Wakrah.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Al Wakrah, 48% against 35%. Attacking output favors Al Wakrah on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.3 per match.
Al Wakrah arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 5 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Al-Rayyan SC, D 2-2 v Qatar SC, L 1-5 @ Nantes, L 0-1 @ Rouen.
Al-Gharafa are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Al Sadd, L 1-3 v Al Shamal, W 2-1 v Al Shahaniya, D 2-2 @ Al Riyadh.
Al-Gharafa hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al Wakrah 0-0 Al-Gharafa.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
