Mafra v Atlético CP: the model read
Mafra meet Atlético CP in the Liga 3 regular season - 11 at Estadio Municipal de Mafra, Mafra. The model makes Atlético CP the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 32% MAF, 32% draw, 36% ATL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 50%. Attacking output favors Mafra on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 39%. Draw no bet leans Atlético CP at 53%; double chance reads Mafra or draw 64%, Atlético CP or draw 68%.
Mafra arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Alverca, L 2-3 @ FC Fredericia, W 2-0 @ Esbjerg, L 1-3 @ CF Os Belenenses.
Atlético CP are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Estoril, W 1-0 @ Lusitano Évora 1911, L 0-1 v 1º Dezembro, W 2-0 v Caldas.
Mafra hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Atlético CP 1-2 Mafra.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
