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Liga 3 · Regular Season - 6 · Portugal

Mafra v CF Os Belenenses

· Estadio Municipal de Mafra, Mafra

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Mafra v CF Os Belenenses: the model read

Mafra meet CF Os Belenenses in the Liga 3 regular season - 6 at Estadio Municipal de Mafra, Mafra.

The baseline ratings are close, 1541 to 1613, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans CF Os Belenenses, 66% against 53%. Attacking output favors CF Os Belenenses on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.

Mafra arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v SC Covilha, W 3-2 @ Atlético Malveira, L 1-2 @ Lusitano Évora 1911, D 1-1 @ Atlético CP.

CF Os Belenenses are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 14 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Vitória de Sernache, W 2-1 @ Lusitano Évora 1911, W 5-0 v União Santarém, W 3-1 @ Louletano.

CF Os Belenenses hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: CF Os Belenenses 3-1 Mafra.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Mafra

WDLWW9-2-8

Scored 1.63 · Conceded 1.58 · Clean sheets 36.8% · BTTS 57.9%

  • WHSC Covilha1-0
  • WAAtlético Malveira3-2
  • LALusitano Évora 19111-2
  • DAAtlético CP1-1
  • WHVitória de Sernache5-0

CF Os Belenenses

WWWWW10-5-4

Scored 1.79 · Conceded 1.16 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 68.4%

  • WAVitória de Sernache3-1
  • WALusitano Évora 19112-1
  • WHUnião Santarém5-0
  • WALouletano3-1
  • WHCaldas1-0

Head-to-head

6 meetings

MafrarecordCF Os Belenenses
0
3
3 draws

Goals

6-12

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Mafra

Recent
LLLDDD
Wins 0Goals 6-12

CF Os Belenenses

Recent
WWWDDD
Wins 3Goals 12-6

Biggest win 4-1

  • CF Os Belenenses3-1Mafra
  • Mafra1-4CF Os Belenenses
  • CF Os Belenenses2-1Mafra
  • Mafra1-1CF Os Belenenses
  • Mafra1-1CF Os Belenenses
  • CF Os Belenenses1-1Mafra

Managers

Home coach unavailable.

Jardim Brandao Goncalo

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.