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Liga 3 · Regular Season - 6 · Portugal

Fafe v Trofense

· Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe, Fafe

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Fafe v Trofense: the model read

Fafe meet Trofense in the Liga 3 regular season - 6 at Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe, Fafe.

Fafe rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1400. Recent form leans Fafe, 63% against 30%. Attacking output favors Fafe on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.5 per match.

Fafe arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Leça, W 1-0 @ Pacos Ferreira, D 1-1 v Guimaraes B, W 3-1 @ São João Ver.

Trofense are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 2 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Guimaraes B, L 1-5 @ Varzim, W 1-0 v São João Ver, L 0-2 @ Vianense.

The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Fafe 1-2 Trofense.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Fafe

DWDWW10-5-5

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 40%

  • WALeça3-0
  • WAPacos Ferreira1-0
  • DHGuimaraes B1-1
  • WASão João Ver3-1
  • DHVianense0-0

Trofense

LLWLD3-6-11

Scored 0.50 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 35%

  • DAGuimaraes B0-0
  • LAVarzim1-5
  • WHSão João Ver1-0
  • LAVianense0-2
  • LHVarzim0-1

Head-to-head

8 meetings

FaferecordTrofense
4
4
0 draws

Goals

13-15

for each

Avg goals

3.5

per game

BTTS

75%

both scored

Over 2.5

75%

3+ goals

Fafe

Recent
LLLWLW
Wins 4Goals 13-15

Biggest win 3-1

Trofense

Recent
WWWLWL
Wins 4Goals 15-13

Biggest win 5-1

  • Fafe1-2Trofense
  • Trofense5-1Fafe
  • Trofense3-2Fafe
  • Fafe1-0Trofense
  • Fafe2-3Trofense
  • Trofense1-3Fafe
  • Trofense0-1Fafe
  • Fafe2-1Trofense

Managers

Mario Ferreira

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Away coach unavailable.

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.