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Liga 3 · Regular Season - 5 · Portugal

Caldas v Vitória de Sernache

· Campo da Mata, Caldas da Rainha

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Caldas v Vitória de Sernache: the model read

Caldas meet Vitória de Sernache in the Liga 3 regular season - 5 at Campo da Mata, Caldas da Rainha.

The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Vitória de Sernache, 55% against 40%. Attacking output favors Caldas on expected goals, 1.0 to 1.0 per match.

Caldas arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ União Santarém, L 1-3 v Sintrense, L 2-4 v Louletano, D 0-0 v Lusitano Évora 1911.

Vitória de Sernache are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v CF Os Belenenses, W 3-0 @ Nazarenos, L 2-3 @ Oliveirense, D 0-0 v SC Covilha.

Caldas hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Vitória de Sernache 1-2 Caldas.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Caldas

LDLLW6-4-10

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 55%

  • WAUnião Santarém1-0
  • LHSintrense1-3
  • LHLouletano2-4
  • DHLusitano Évora 19110-0
  • LACF Os Belenenses0-1

Vitória de Sernache

LDLWL7-8-5

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 35%

  • LHCF Os Belenenses1-3
  • WANazarenos3-0
  • LAOliveirense2-3
  • DHSC Covilha0-0
  • LAMafra0-5

Head-to-head

1 meeting

CaldasrecordVitória de Sernache
1
0
0 draws

Goals

2-1

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Caldas

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 2-1

Biggest win 2-1

Vitória de Sernache

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 1-2
  • Vitória de Sernache1-2Caldas

Managers

Copa Luzia Aguiar Joao Nuno

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Away coach unavailable.

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.