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Liga 3 · Regular Season - 4 · Portugal

Guimaraes B v Trofense

0-0Full time· Academia Vitoria SC

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Guimaraes B v Trofense

Guimaraes B meet Trofense in the Liga 3 regular season - 4 at Academia Vitoria SC, undefined.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Guimaraes B, 53% against 30%. Attacking output favors Guimaraes B on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.5 per match.

Guimaraes B arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Trofense, D 1-1 @ Fafe, W 2-0 v Leça, L 1-3 @ Paredes.

Trofense are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 2 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Guimaraes B, L 1-5 @ Varzim, W 1-0 v São João Ver, L 0-2 @ Vianense.

Trofense hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Guimaraes B 0-0 Trofense.

The market prices GUI at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 8.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Guimaraes B

WLWDD7-7-6

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 60%

  • DHTrofense0-0
  • DAFafe1-1
  • WHLeça2-0
  • LAParedes1-3
  • WAChaves3-2

Trofense

LLWLD3-6-11

Scored 0.50 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 35%

  • DAGuimaraes B0-0
  • LAVarzim1-5
  • WHSão João Ver1-0
  • LAVianense0-2
  • LHVarzim0-1

Head-to-head

5 meetings

Guimaraes BrecordTrofense
1
2
2 draws

Goals

4-5

for each

Avg goals

1.8

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Guimaraes B

Recent
DDLWL
Wins 1Goals 4-5

Biggest win 1-0

Trofense

Recent
DDWLW
Wins 2Goals 5-4

Biggest win 2-1

  • Guimaraes B0-0Trofense
  • Trofense1-1Guimaraes B
  • Guimaraes B1-2Trofense
  • Trofense0-1Guimaraes B
  • Guimaraes B1-2Trofense

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.