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Liga 3 · Regular Season - 4 · Portugal

Louletano v Lusitano Évora 1911

1-0Full time· Estadio Algarve

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Louletano v Lusitano Évora 1911

Louletano meet Lusitano Évora 1911 in the Liga 3 regular season - 4 at Estadio Algarve, undefined.

Louletano rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1500. Recent form leans Louletano, 75% against 50%. Attacking output favors Louletano on expected goals, 1.7 to 0.9 per match.

Louletano arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Lusitano Évora 1911, W 1-0 @ Castrense, W 4-2 @ Caldas, L 1-3 v CF Os Belenenses.

Lusitano Évora 1911 are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Louletano, L 1-2 v CF Os Belenenses, W 2-1 v Mafra, D 0-0 @ Caldas.

Lusitano Évora 1911 hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Louletano 1-0 Lusitano Évora 1911.

The market prices LOU at 29% implied. Our number sits apart on Louletano: a 12.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Louletano

DLWWW13-4-3

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 60%

  • WHLusitano Évora 19111-0
  • WACastrense1-0
  • WACaldas4-2
  • LHCF Os Belenenses1-3
  • DAOliveirense0-0

Lusitano Évora 1911

LDWLL7-6-7

Scored 0.90 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 50%

  • LALouletano0-1
  • LHCF Os Belenenses1-2
  • WHMafra2-1
  • DACaldas0-0
  • LHAtlético CP0-1

Head-to-head

5 meetings

LouletanorecordLusitano Évora 1911
1
3
1 draw

Goals

4-6

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

20%

3+ goals

Louletano

Recent
WLLDL
Wins 1Goals 4-6

Biggest win 1-0

Lusitano Évora 1911

Recent
LWWDW
Wins 3Goals 6-4

Biggest win 1-0

  • Louletano1-0Lusitano Évora 1911
  • Lusitano Évora 19111-0Louletano
  • Louletano2-3Lusitano Évora 1911
  • Lusitano Évora 19111-1Louletano
  • Louletano0-1Lusitano Évora 1911

Managers

Miguel Valenca

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Amora2025–2026
Away coach unavailable.

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.