Paredes v Guimaraes B: the model read
Paredes meet Guimaraes B in the Liga 3 regular season - 1 at Municipal das Laranjeiras, Paredes. The model makes Paredes the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% PAR, 31% draw, 30% GUI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 53%. Attacking output favors Paredes on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 39%. Draw no bet leans Paredes at 56%; double chance reads Paredes or draw 70%, Guimaraes B or draw 61%.
Paredes arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ AVS, L 0-2 @ Santa Clara, D 2-2 v AD Marco 09, L 0-1 @ Sanjoanense.
Guimaraes B are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Chaves, L 1-3 v Amarante, D 1-1 @ Trofense, L 0-2 v Mafra.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
