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Liga 3 · Regular Season - 1 · Portugal

Mafra v Vitória de Sernache

5-0Full time· Estadio Municipal de Mafra, Mafra

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Mafra v Vitória de Sernache: the model read

Mafra meet Vitória de Sernache in the Liga 3 regular season - 1 at Estadio Municipal de Mafra, Mafra.

The baseline ratings are close, 1541 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 55%. Attacking output favors Mafra on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.0 per match.

Mafra arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v SC Covilha, W 3-2 @ Atlético Malveira, L 1-2 @ Lusitano Évora 1911, D 1-1 @ Atlético CP.

Vitória de Sernache are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v CF Os Belenenses, W 3-0 @ Nazarenos, L 2-3 @ Oliveirense, D 0-0 v SC Covilha.

Mafra hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mafra 5-0 Vitória de Sernache.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Mafra

WDLWW9-2-8

Scored 1.63 · Conceded 1.58 · Clean sheets 36.8% · BTTS 57.9%

  • WHSC Covilha1-0
  • WAAtlético Malveira3-2
  • LALusitano Évora 19111-2
  • DAAtlético CP1-1
  • WHVitória de Sernache5-0

Vitória de Sernache

LDLWL7-8-5

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 35%

  • LHCF Os Belenenses1-3
  • WANazarenos3-0
  • LAOliveirense2-3
  • DHSC Covilha0-0
  • LAMafra0-5

Head-to-head

1 meeting

MafrarecordVitória de Sernache
1
0
0 draws

Goals

5-0

for each

Avg goals

5.0

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Mafra

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 5-0

Biggest win 5-0

Vitória de Sernache

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 0-5
  • Mafra5-0Vitória de Sernache

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.