Leça v São João Ver: the model read
Leça meet São João Ver in the Liga 3 regular season - 1 at Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube, Leca da Palmeira. The model makes Leça the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% LEÇ, 31% draw, 26% SÃO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Leça, 68% against 50%. Attacking output favors Leça on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 40%. Draw no bet leans Leça at 62%; double chance reads Leça or draw 74%, São João Ver or draw 57%.
Leça arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Santa Clara, D 1-1 v Vitória de Sernache, W 1-0 v Bragança, L 1-2 @ Rebordosa.
São João Ver are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ União Lamas, L 0-1 @ SC Braga, W 2-1 v Sanjoanense, W 2-1 @ Fafe.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
