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Liga 3 · Regular Season - 1 · Portugal

SC Covilha v União Santarém

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SC Covilha v União Santarém: the model read

SC Covilha meet União Santarém in the Liga 3 regular season - 1.

The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans SC Covilha, 45% against 30%. Attacking output favors SC Covilha on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.8 per match.

SC Covilha arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Mafra, D 0-0 v Mortágua, L 0-3 v Atlético CP, D 0-0 @ Vitória de Sernache.

União Santarém are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 1 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Caldas, L 0-5 @ CF Os Belenenses, D 1-1 v Oliveirense, L 0-2 @ SC Covilha.

SC Covilha hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: SC Covilha 2-0 União Santarém.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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SC Covilha

WDLDL6-6-8

Scored 0.85 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 40%

  • LAMafra0-1
  • DHMortágua0-0
  • LHAtlético CP0-3
  • DAVitória de Sernache0-0
  • WHUnião Santarém2-0

União Santarém

DLDLL3-6-11

Scored 0.80 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 5% · BTTS 55%

  • LHCaldas0-1
  • LACF Os Belenenses0-5
  • DHOliveirense1-1
  • LASC Covilha0-2
  • DHAcademica0-0

Head-to-head

7 meetings

SC CovilharecordUnião Santarém
4
1
2 draws

Goals

10-5

for each

Avg goals

2.1

per game

BTTS

57%

both scored

Over 2.5

29%

3+ goals

SC Covilha

Recent
WDDWLW
Wins 4Goals 10-5

Biggest win 2-0

União Santarém

Recent
LDDLWL
Wins 1Goals 5-10

Biggest win 1-0

  • SC Covilha2-0União Santarém
  • SC Covilha1-1União Santarém
  • União Santarém1-1SC Covilha
  • União Santarém1-2SC Covilha
  • SC Covilha0-1União Santarém
  • SC Covilha3-1União Santarém
  • União Santarém0-1SC Covilha

Managers

Rui Mota

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Goncalo Carvalho

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.