Where the market is wrong on Chertsey Town v Frome Town
Chertsey Town meet Frome Town in the Non League Premier - Southern South regular season - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1601 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 70%. Attacking output favors Frome Town on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.
Chertsey Town arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Hanworth Villa, L 1-2 v Frome Town, W 4-2 @ Sholing, D 1-1 v Yate Town.
Frome Town are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Bath City, W 2-1 @ Chertsey Town, L 1-2 v Gosport Borough, L 0-1 @ Havant & Wville.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chertsey Town 1-2 Frome Town.
The market prices CHE at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Frome Town: a 16.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
