AFC Emley v Workington: the model read
AFC Emley meet Workington in the Non League Premier - Northern regular season - 10.
Workington rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1420. Recent form leans Workington, 55% against 40%. Attacking output favors Workington on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.
AFC Emley arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 3 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Workington, L 0-5 @ Bootle, L 0-4 v Spennymoor Town, L 0-4 @ Bury.
Workington are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ AFC Emley, W 4-2 v Blyth Spartans, L 1-5 @ Bury, W 3-1 v Ilkeston Town.
The market prices AFC at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
