Where the market is wrong on Stockton Town v Redcar Athletic
Stockton Town meet Redcar Athletic in the Non League Premier - Northern regular season - 8.
Redcar Athletic rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1637 to 1408. Recent form leans Redcar Athletic, 71% against 35%. Attacking output favors Redcar Athletic on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans Redcar Athletic at 70%; double chance reads Stockton Town or draw 49%, Redcar Athletic or draw 78%.
Stockton Town arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 3-5 @ Avro, L 0-3 @ Guiseley AFC, W 2-0 v Alfreton Town, L 1-4 @ Gainsborough Trinity.
Redcar Athletic are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v United of Manchester, D 0-0 v AFC Emley, W 5-0 @ Rylands, W 3-1 v Lancaster City.
The market prices STO at 29% implied. Our number sits apart on Redcar Athletic: a 3.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 65 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
