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Non League Premier - Northern · Regular Season - 8 · England

Gainsborough Trinity v Cleethorpes Town

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Gainsborough Trinity v Cleethorpes Town

Gainsborough Trinity meet Cleethorpes Town in the Non League Premier - Northern regular season - 8.

The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Cleethorpes Town, 60% against 43%. Attacking output favors Cleethorpes Town on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.2 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Cleethorpes Town at 60%; double chance reads Gainsborough Trinity or draw 58%, Cleethorpes Town or draw 72%.

Gainsborough Trinity arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Ashton United, D 2-2 @ Quorn, L 0-1 v Bury, W 4-1 v Stockton Town.

Cleethorpes Town are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 13 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Curzon Ashton, W 6-0 v Whitby Town, W 3-0 @ Ilkeston Town, W 2-1 v Alfreton Town.

Gainsborough Trinity hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gainsborough Trinity 2-0 Cleethorpes Town.

The market prices GAI at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on Cleethorpes Town: a 10.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 78 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Gainsborough Trinity

WWLDW6-5-9

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 50%

  • WAAshton United2-1
  • DAQuorn2-2
  • LHBury0-1
  • WHStockton Town4-1
  • WAUnited of Manchester3-0

Cleethorpes Town

DWWWL8-8-4

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 50%

  • LHCurzon Ashton1-3
  • WHWhitby Town6-0
  • WAIlkeston Town3-0
  • WHAlfreton Town2-1
  • DAWarrington Town1-1

Head-to-head

2 meetings

Gainsborough TrinityrecordCleethorpes Town
2
0
0 draws

Goals

3-0

for each

Avg goals

1.5

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Gainsborough Trinity

Recent
WW
Wins 2Goals 3-0

Biggest win 2-0

Cleethorpes Town

Recent
LL
Wins 0Goals 0-3
  • Gainsborough Trinity2-0Cleethorpes Town
  • Cleethorpes Town0-1Gainsborough Trinity

Managers

Russell Wilcox

Head coach

In charge since 2025

M. Newell

England

In charge since 2013

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.