Gainsborough Trinity v Workington: the model read
Gainsborough Trinity meet Workington in the Non League Premier - Northern regular season - 1. The model makes Workington the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 33% GAI, 32% draw, 35% WOR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 53%. Attacking output favors Gainsborough Trinity on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans Workington at 51%; double chance reads Gainsborough Trinity or draw 65%, Workington or draw 67%.
Gainsborough Trinity arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Doncaster, L 2-3 v FC Halifax Town, D 1-1 @ Basford United, L 1-3 @ Hyde United.
Workington are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Barrow, L 0-1 v Leek Town, W 3-2 @ Warrington Town, L 1-2 @ Ashton United.
Gainsborough Trinity hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gainsborough Trinity 3-3 Workington.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
