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Non League Premier - Isthmian · Regular Season - 6 · England

Wingate & Finchley v Enfield Town

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Wingate & Finchley v Enfield Town

Wingate & Finchley meet Enfield Town in the Non League Premier - Isthmian regular season - 6.

The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 53%. Attacking output favors Enfield Town on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 69%, over 2.5 goals around 73%. Draw no bet leans Enfield Town at 58%; double chance reads Wingate & Finchley or draw 58%, Enfield Town or draw 70%.

Wingate & Finchley arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Chatham Town, W 1-0 v Dulwich Hamlet, D 2-2 @ Whyteleafe, L 0-2 @ Carshalton Athletic.

Enfield Town are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 16 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v Whitehawk, W 3-1 @ Brentwood Town, W 3-2 v Ramsgate, L 1-2 v St Albans City.

Enfield Town hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Enfield Town 1-0 Wingate & Finchley.

The market prices WIN at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Wingate & Finchley

DLDWW7-5-8

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 1.60 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • WAChatham Town3-2
  • WHDulwich Hamlet1-0
  • DAWhyteleafe2-2
  • LACarshalton Athletic0-2
  • DHCray Wanderers1-1

Enfield Town

WLWWW8-5-7

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 1.60 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 65%

  • WHWhitehawk5-1
  • WABrentwood Town3-1
  • WHRamsgate3-2
  • LHSt Albans City1-2
  • WALewes4-0

Head-to-head

7 meetings

Wingate & FinchleyrecordEnfield Town
1
4
2 draws

Goals

9-13

for each

Avg goals

3.1

per game

BTTS

71%

both scored

Over 2.5

57%

3+ goals

Wingate & Finchley

Recent
LDLDLW
Wins 1Goals 9-13

Biggest win 4-1

Enfield Town

Recent
WDWDWL
Wins 4Goals 13-9

Biggest win 4-1

  • Enfield Town1-0Wingate & Finchley
  • Enfield Town2-2Wingate & Finchley
  • Wingate & Finchley1-4Enfield Town
  • Enfield Town1-1Wingate & Finchley
  • Wingate & Finchley0-2Enfield Town
  • Wingate & Finchley4-1Enfield Town
  • Enfield Town2-1Wingate & Finchley

Managers

G. Little

England · 50

In charge since 2018

G. Macpherson

England · 46

In charge since 2023 · 2 teams managed

  • Metropolitan Police2018–2023

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.