Where the market is wrong on El Mansura v Masar
El Mansura meet Masar in the Second League regular season - 7.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Masar, 63% against 53%. Attacking output favors Masar on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.8 per match.
El Mansura arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Masar, L 0-2 @ Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat, D 1-1 v Team, D 1-1 @ Tersana.
Masar are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ El Mansura, W 1-0 v Proxy, D 1-1 @ La Viena FC, W 3-1 v El Seka El Hadid.
El Mansura hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: El Mansura 2-0 Masar.
The market prices EL at 25% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output