Where the market is wrong on Pharco v Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
Pharco meet Baladiyyat Al Mehalla in the Second League regular season - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 43%. Attacking output favors Baladiyyat Al Mehalla on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.6 per match.
Pharco arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Baladiyyat Al Mehalla, D 0-0 @ El Dakhleya, W 2-0 v El Mansura, W 1-0 @ Proxy.
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Pharco, W 1-0 v Mega Sport, D 0-0 v El Dakhleya, L 1-2 @ El Mansura.
The market prices PHA at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on Baladiyyat Al Mehalla: a 7.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 61 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
