Macarthur v Brisbane Roar: the model read
Macarthur meet Brisbane Roar in the A-League regular season - 4 at Campbelltown Stadium, Sydney.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Macarthur, 45% against 33%. Attacking output favors Macarthur on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Macarthur arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ SD Raiders, W 3-0 @ Uni Azzurri, W 4-0 v Wellington Phoenix, L 1-3 @ Adelaide United.
Brisbane Roar are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 14 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v Sydney, W 3-0 @ Sydney Olympic, W 5-0 @ Ipswich, W 3-0 @ Caboolture.
Macarthur hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Macarthur 2-1 Brisbane Roar.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
