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A-League · Regular Season - 2 · Australia

Wellington Phoenix v Central Coast Mariners

· Sky Stadium, Wellington

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Wellington Phoenix v Central Coast Mariners: the model read

Wellington Phoenix meet Central Coast Mariners in the A-League regular season - 2 at Sky Stadium, Wellington.

The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 48%. Attacking output favors Wellington Phoenix on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.

Wellington Phoenix arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Macarthur, W 2-1 v Western Sydney Wanderers, L 0-2 @ Melbourne City, W 1-0 @ Melbourne Victory.

Central Coast Mariners are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Sydney United, L 0-4 @ Newcastle Jets, W 1-0 @ Auckland, D 2-2 v Brisbane Roar.

Wellington Phoenix hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Wellington Phoenix 3-1 Central Coast Mariners.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Wellington Phoenix

WWLWL7-4-9

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 2.00 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • LAMacarthur0-4
  • WHWestern Sydney Wanderers2-1
  • LAMelbourne City0-2
  • WAMelbourne Victory1-0
  • WABrisbane Roar2-1

Central Coast Mariners

LDWLD6-7-7

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.65 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • DASydney United1-1
  • LANewcastle Jets0-4
  • WAAuckland1-0
  • DHBrisbane Roar2-2
  • LAMelbourne City1-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Wellington PhoenixrecordCentral Coast Mariners
3
2
5 draws

Goals

14-10

for each

Avg goals

2.4

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Wellington Phoenix

Recent
WDDWLL
Wins 3Goals 14-10

Biggest win 3-0

Central Coast Mariners

Recent
LDDLWW
Wins 2Goals 10-14

Biggest win 2-1

  • Wellington Phoenix3-1Central Coast Mariners
  • Central Coast Mariners1-1Wellington Phoenix
  • Wellington Phoenix0-0Central Coast Mariners
  • Central Coast Mariners0-3Wellington Phoenix
  • Central Coast Mariners2-1Wellington Phoenix
  • Central Coast Mariners2-1Wellington Phoenix
  • Wellington Phoenix0-0Central Coast Mariners
  • Central Coast Mariners1-1Wellington Phoenix
  • Wellington Phoenix2-1Central Coast Mariners
  • Wellington Phoenix2-2Central Coast Mariners

Managers

G. Italiano

Australia · 42

In charge since 2023 · 2 teams managed

  • Sydney U212018–2019

W. Moon

Australia · 43

In charge since 2025 · 5 teams managed

  • Papua New Guinea2024–2024
  • Brisbane Roar2020–2023
  • Brisbane Roar U212020–2023
  • Lions2015–2019

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.