Newcastle Jets v Macarthur: the model read
Newcastle Jets meet Macarthur in the A-League regular season - 2 at McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle. The model makes Newcastle Jets the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 47% NEW, 26% draw, 27% MAC.
Newcastle Jets rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1489. Recent form leans Newcastle Jets, 68% against 48%. Attacking output favors Newcastle Jets on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 78%, over 2.5 goals around 88%. Draw no bet leans Newcastle Jets at 63%; double chance reads Newcastle Jets or draw 73%, Macarthur or draw 53%.
Newcastle Jets arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Preston Lions, D 1-1 v Sydney, D 1-1 @ Sydney, W 4-0 v Central Coast Mariners.
Macarthur are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Uni Azzurri, W 4-0 v Wellington Phoenix, L 1-3 @ Adelaide United, L 1-3 @ Perth Glory.
Macarthur hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Macarthur 3-2 Newcastle Jets.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
