Aryan v Mohammedan: the model read
Aryan meet Mohammedan in the Calcutta Premier Division regular season. The model makes Aryan the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% ARY, 33% draw, 27% MOH.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Aryan, 38% against 21%. Attacking output favors Aryan on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 33%, over 2.5 goals around 30%. Draw no bet leans Aryan at 60%; double chance reads Aryan or draw 73%, Mohammedan or draw 59%.
Aryan arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Police, W 4-0 @ NA Suruchi Sangha, L 0-1 @ Coal India, L 1-3 v Mohammedan.
Mohammedan are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Wari, W 3-1 @ Aryan, W 3-1 v Rainbow, L 0-2 @ NorthEast United.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
