Where the market is wrong on Cumbernauld Colts v St. Mirren U21
Cumbernauld Colts meet St. Mirren U21 in the Challenge Cup group stage - 5 at Broadwood Stadium, Cumbernauld.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 48%. Attacking output favors Cumbernauld Colts on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.8 per match.
Cumbernauld Colts arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 11 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v St. Mirren U21, D 1-1 @ Stirling Albion, L 1-2 @ Albion Rovers, W 3-2 v Gretna 2008.
St. Mirren U21 are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 14 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ Cumbernauld Colts, L 1-2 @ Clydebank, L 0-1 @ Airdrie United, W 5-2 @ East Fife.
St. Mirren U21 hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cumbernauld Colts 2-4 St. Mirren U21.
The market prices CUM at 24% implied. Our number sits apart on Cumbernauld Colts: a 10.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
