Where the market is wrong on Annan Athletic v Hibernian U21
Annan Athletic meet Hibernian U21 in the Challenge Cup group stage - 5 at Galabank, Annan.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Annan Athletic, 38% against 24%. Attacking output favors Hibernian U21 on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Annan Athletic arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Hibernian U21, D 1-1 @ Queen of the South, L 0-1 @ Forfar Athletic, W 2-0 v Elgin City.
Hibernian U21 are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Annan Athletic, L 1-4 @ Alloa Athletic, L 0-1 @ Berwick Rangers, L 0-1 @ Queen of the South.
The market prices ANN at 74% implied. Our number sits apart on Hibernian U21: a 22.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
