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Challenge Cup · Group Stage - 2 · Scotland

Spartans v Hearts U21

5-0Full time· Ainslie Park, Edinburgh

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Spartans v Hearts U21: the model read

Spartans meet Hearts U21 in the Challenge Cup group stage - 2 at Ainslie Park, Edinburgh.

The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Spartans, 47% against 30%. Attacking output favors Spartans on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 80%. Draw no bet leans Spartans at 69%; double chance reads Spartans or draw 77%, Hearts U21 or draw 49%.

Spartans arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 12 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 v Hearts U21, D 3-3 v Elgin City, L 0-1 @ Stranraer, D 2-2 @ East Fife.

Hearts U21 are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ Spartans, W 4-3 @ Berwick Rangers, L 0-3 @ Cowdenbeath, W 3-0 v Albion Rovers.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Spartans

DDLDW5-8-6

Scored 1.68 · Conceded 1.53 · Clean sheets 21.1% · BTTS 63.2%

  • WHHearts U215-0
  • DHElgin City3-3
  • LAStranraer0-1
  • DAEast Fife2-2
  • DHEdinburgh City2-2

Hearts U21

LWLWL5-2-13

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 2.55 · Clean sheets 5% · BTTS 50%

  • LASpartans0-5
  • WABerwick Rangers4-3
  • LACowdenbeath0-3
  • WHAlbion Rovers3-0
  • LAEast Stirlingshire2-4

Managers

Douglas Samuel

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Angus Beith

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.