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Super League 1 · Regular Season - 3 · Greece

Panathinaikos v PAOK

· Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Panathinaikos v PAOK

Panathinaikos meet PAOK in the Super League 1 regular season - 3 at Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens.

The baseline ratings are close, 1553 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 58% against 53%. Attacking output favors PAOK on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.5 per match.

Panathinaikos arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Levadiakos, W 2-1 @ Hradec Králové, D 2-2 v Hradec Králové, W 2-1 @ CSKA 1948.

PAOK are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Atromitos, L 2-3 @ Brann, W 4-0 v Levadiakos, D 1-1 v Brann.

PAOK hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Panathinaikos 2-2 PAOK.

The market prices PAN at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on PAOK: a 6.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 66 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Panathinaikos

DWDWW8-6-5

Scored 1.53 · Conceded 1.32 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 57.9%

  • WALevadiakos2-0
  • WAHradec Králové2-1
  • DHHradec Králové2-2
  • WACSKA 19482-1
  • DHCSKA 19481-1

PAOK

LDWLW8-5-7

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • WAAtromitos2-1
  • LABrann2-3
  • WHLevadiakos4-0
  • DHBrann1-1
  • LAAnderlecht2-3

Head-to-head

10 meetings

PanathinaikosrecordPAOK
3
4
3 draws

Goals

10-12

for each

Avg goals

2.2

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Panathinaikos

Recent
DDLLLW
Wins 3Goals 10-12

Biggest win 3-1

PAOK

Recent
DDWWWL
Wins 4Goals 12-10

Biggest win 2-0

  • Panathinaikos2-2PAOK
  • PAOK0-0Panathinaikos
  • PAOK2-0Panathinaikos
  • Panathinaikos0-1PAOK
  • PAOK2-0Panathinaikos
  • Panathinaikos2-1PAOK
  • PAOK2-1Panathinaikos
  • Panathinaikos3-1PAOK
  • Panathinaikos2-1PAOK
  • PAOK0-0Panathinaikos

Managers

Home coach unavailable.

A. Lisci

Italy · 40

In charge since 2026 · 5 teams managed

  • Osasuna2025–2026
  • Levante2021–2022
  • Levante II2020–2021

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.