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Frauen Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4 · Germany

SC Freiburg W v Mainz 05 W

3-0Full time· Dreisamstadion, Freiburg

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on SC Freiburg W v Mainz 05 W

SC Freiburg W meet Mainz 05 W in the Frauen Bundesliga regular season - 4 at Dreisamstadion, Freiburg.

Mainz 05 W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1477. Recent form leans Mainz 05 W, 65% against 45%. Attacking output favors Mainz 05 W on expected goals, 2.8 to 1.4 per match.

SC Freiburg W arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Mainz 05 W, L 1-4 @ Bayern Munich W, W 1-0 v Union Berlin W, D 1-1 @ Hamburger SV W.

Mainz 05 W are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ SC Freiburg W, L 0-4 v FC Koln W, L 0-2 @ Bayern Munich W, L 1-2 v Werder Bremen W.

SC Freiburg W hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: SC Freiburg W 3-0 Mainz 05 W.

The market prices SC at 74% implied. Our number sits apart on Mainz 05 W: a 41.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 86 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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SC Freiburg W

DDWLW7-4-9

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 1.60 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • WHMainz 05 W3-0
  • LABayern Munich W1-4
  • WHUnion Berlin W1-0
  • DAHamburger SV W1-1
  • DASGS Essen W1-1

Mainz 05 W

WLLLL12-2-6

Scored 2.75 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 40%

  • LASC Freiburg W0-3
  • LHFC Koln W0-4
  • LABayern Munich W0-2
  • LHWerder Bremen W1-2
  • WAWarbeyen W5-0

Head-to-head

1 meeting

SC Freiburg WrecordMainz 05 W
1
0
0 draws

Goals

3-0

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

SC Freiburg W

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 3-0

Biggest win 3-0

Mainz 05 W

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 0-3
  • SC Freiburg W3-0Mainz 05 W

Managers

Edmond Kapllani

Head coach

In charge since 2025

T. Yamashita

Japan · 41

In charge since 2023

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.