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Frauen Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3 · Germany

Mainz 05 W v FC Koln W

0-4Full time· Bruchwegstadion, Mainz

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Mainz 05 W v FC Koln W

Mainz 05 W meet FC Koln W in the Frauen Bundesliga regular season - 3 at Bruchwegstadion, Mainz.

Mainz 05 W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1523. Recent form leans Mainz 05 W, 70% against 50%. Attacking output favors Mainz 05 W on expected goals, 2.9 to 1.5 per match.

Mainz 05 W arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v FC Koln W, L 0-2 @ Bayern Munich W, L 1-2 v Werder Bremen W, W 5-0 @ Warbeyen W.

FC Koln W are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Mainz 05 W, W 1-0 v 1899 Hoffenheim W, L 0-2 @ Eintracht Frankfurt W, W 3-0 @ Carl Zeiss Jena W.

FC Koln W hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mainz 05 W 0-4 FC Koln W.

The market prices MAI at 14% implied. Our number sits apart on Mainz 05 W: a 35.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 85 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Mainz 05 W

WWLLL13-2-5

Scored 2.90 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 45%

  • LHFC Koln W0-4
  • LABayern Munich W0-2
  • LHWerder Bremen W1-2
  • WAWarbeyen W5-0
  • WHIngolstadt W5-0

FC Koln W

WWLWW9-2-9

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • WAMainz 05 W4-0
  • WH1899 Hoffenheim W1-0
  • LAEintracht Frankfurt W0-2
  • WACarl Zeiss Jena W3-0
  • WHHamburger SV W2-1

Head-to-head

1 meeting

Mainz 05 WrecordFC Koln W
0
1
0 draws

Goals

0-4

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Mainz 05 W

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 0-4

FC Koln W

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 4-0

Biggest win 4-0

  • Mainz 05 W0-4FC Koln W

Managers

T. Yamashita

Japan · 41

In charge since 2023

Britta Carlson

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.