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Liga MX U21 · Regular Season - 10 · Mexico

Cruz Azul U21 v Toluca U21

2-3Full time

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Cruz Azul U21 v Toluca U21

Cruz Azul U21 meet Toluca U21 in the Liga MX U21 regular season - 10.

Toluca U21 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1443. Recent form leans Toluca U21, 71% against 43%. Attacking output favors Toluca U21 on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.

Cruz Azul U21 arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Toluca U21, L 0-2 @ Monterrey U21, L 1-2 v Club America U21, W 4-0 v Santos Laguna U21.

Toluca U21 are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Cruz Azul U21, W 2-1 v Santos Laguna U21, W 2-0 v Atlas U21, W 2-1 v Juarez U21.

The market prices CRU at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on Toluca U21: a 3.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 62 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Cruz Azul U21

LWLLL5-7-8

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • LHToluca U212-3
  • LAMonterrey U210-2
  • LHClub America U211-2
  • WHSantos Laguna U214-0
  • LANecaxa U211-2

Toluca U21

WWWWW11-5-3

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 1.11 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 68.4%

  • WACruz Azul U213-2
  • WHSantos Laguna U212-1
  • WHAtlas U212-0
  • WHJuarez U212-1
  • WAQueretaro U212-0

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.