Scherpenberg v SW Essen: the model read
Scherpenberg meet SW Essen in the Oberliga - Niederrhein niederrhein - 1. The model makes Scherpenberg the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% SCH, 28% draw, 31% SW .
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Scherpenberg, 50% against 38%. Attacking output favors Scherpenberg on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 72%, over 2.5 goals around 75%. Draw no bet leans Scherpenberg at 56%; double chance reads Scherpenberg or draw 69%, SW Essen or draw 60%.
Scherpenberg arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-0L from their last five (2/15 pts), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Sonsbeck, D 2-2 @ Sterkrade-Nord.
SW Essen are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 7 scored and 20 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Rot-Weiß Essen, L 3-4 v Meerbusch, L 3-4 @ Kleve, L 0-4 v Schonnebeck.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output