ML Vitebsk v Sutjeska

ML Vitebsk meet Sutjeska in the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd qualifying round at Mezokovesdi Varosi Stadion, Mezokovesd. The model makes ML Vitebsk the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% ML , 29% draw, 31% SUT.

The baseline ratings are close, 1611 to 1541, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans ML Vitebsk, 64% against 53%. Attacking output favors ML Vitebsk on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans ML Vitebsk at 57%; double chance reads ML Vitebsk or draw 69%, Sutjeska or draw 60%.

ML Vitebsk arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Sutjeska, L 0-1 @ Universitatea Craiova, L 1-4 v Universitatea Craiova, W 4-2 @ Slavia Mozyr.

Sutjeska are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ ML Vitebsk, L 0-2 v Kairat Almaty, L 1-2 @ Kairat Almaty, L 1-2 v FK Sarajevo.

ML Vitebsk hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: ML Vitebsk 3-0 Sutjeska.

The market prices ML at 57% implied. Our number sits apart on Sutjeska: a 12.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.