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UEFA Champions League · 2nd Qualifying Round · World

Omonia Nicosia v Kairat Almaty

1-0Full time· GSP Stadium, Nicosia· Referee: G. Correia

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Omonia Nicosia v Kairat Almaty: the model read

Omonia Nicosia meet Kairat Almaty in the UEFA Champions League 2nd qualifying round at GSP Stadium, Nicosia. The model makes Omonia Nicosia the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% OMO, 31% draw, 33% KAI.

The baseline ratings are close, 1696 to 1684, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 78% against 75%. Attacking output favors Omonia Nicosia on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Omonia Nicosia at 52%; double chance reads Omonia Nicosia or draw 67%, Kairat Almaty or draw 64%.

Omonia Nicosia arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Kairat Almaty, W 1-0 v Kairat Almaty, W 2-1 v Panetolikos, D 0-0 @ Korona Kielce.

Kairat Almaty are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Omonia Nicosia, W 2-1 v Ordabasy, L 0-1 @ Omonia Nicosia, W 3-1 @ Atyrau.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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See plans

Omonia Nicosia

DDWWL13-5-2

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 0.80 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 45%

  • LAKairat Almaty0-1
  • WHKairat Almaty1-0
  • WHPanetolikos2-1
  • DAKorona Kielce0-0
  • DHHapoel Beer Sheva2-2

Kairat Almaty

WWLWW13-4-3

Scored 1.90 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 60%

  • WHOmonia Nicosia1-0
  • WHOrdabasy2-1
  • LAOmonia Nicosia0-1
  • WAAtyrau3-1
  • WASutjeska2-0

Managers

Y. Anastasiou

Greece · 52

In charge since 2024 · 9 clubs managed

  • Omonia Nicosia2024–2024
  • Kifisia2023–2023
  • Panaitolikos2021–2023
  • Atromitos2019–2019

R. Urazbakhtin

Kazakhstan · 47

In charge since 2024 · 2 clubs managed

  • Kairat2024–2024

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.