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Lecce v Istra 1961

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Lecce v Istra 1961: the model read

Lecce meet Istra 1961 in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies.

The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 48%. Attacking output favors Istra 1961 on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans Istra 1961 at 55%; double chance reads Lecce or draw 61%, Istra 1961 or draw 68%.

Lecce arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v AS Roma, W 2-0 @ Venezia, L 0-2 @ Palermo, W 1-0 v SS Monopoli.

Istra 1961 are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Dinamo Zagreb, L 2-3 @ HNK Rijeka, W 3-0 v NK Slaven Belupo, D 2-2 @ HNK Hajduk Split.

Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Lecce 2-2 Istra 1961.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Lecce

WWLWL8-3-9

Scored 1.10 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 40%

  • LHAS Roma0-4
  • WAVenezia2-0
  • LAPalermo0-2
  • WHSS Monopoli1-0
  • WHBistrica5-2

Istra 1961

LDWLD6-7-7

Scored 1.65 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • DHDinamo Zagreb2-2
  • LAHNK Rijeka2-3
  • WHNK Slaven Belupo3-0
  • DAHNK Hajduk Split2-2
  • LHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb2-3

Head-to-head

1 meeting

LeccerecordIstra 1961
0
0
1 draw

Goals

2-2

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Lecce

Recent
D
Wins 0Goals 2-2

Istra 1961

Recent
D
Wins 0Goals 2-2
  • Lecce2-2Istra 1961

Managers

E. Di Francesco

Italy · 56

In charge since 2025 · 10 teams managed

  • Frosinone2023–2024
  • Verona2021–2021
  • Cagliari2020–2021
  • Sampdoria2019–2019

Kresimir Rezic

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.