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VfL Wolfsburg v Lyon

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VfL Wolfsburg v Lyon: the model read

VfL Wolfsburg meet Lyon in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Lyon the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 32% VFL, 28% draw, 40% LYO.

Lyon rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1523 to 1400. Recent form leans Lyon, 53% against 33%. Attacking output favors Lyon on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 72%, over 2.5 goals around 75%. Draw no bet leans Lyon at 55%; double chance reads VfL Wolfsburg or draw 60%, Lyon or draw 68%.

VfL Wolfsburg arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Lyon, W 3-0 v Verl, W 8-2 @ Schöningen, L 1-2 @ SC Paderborn 07.

Lyon are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Real Betis, W 2-0 @ VfL Wolfsburg, L 0-2 @ Slavia Praha, W 2-1 v Servette FC.

Lyon hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: VfL Wolfsburg 0-2 Lyon.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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VfL Wolfsburg

DLWWL4-5-11

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 60%

  • LHLyon0-2
  • WHVerl3-0
  • WASchöningen8-2
  • LASC Paderborn 071-2
  • DHSC Paderborn 070-0

Lyon

WWLWL8-5-7

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • LAReal Betis0-4
  • WAVfL Wolfsburg2-0
  • LASlavia Praha0-2
  • WHServette FC2-1
  • WHFC ST. Gallen6-3

Head-to-head

2 meetings

VfL WolfsburgrecordLyon
0
2
0 draws

Goals

1-6

for each

Avg goals

3.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

VfL Wolfsburg

Recent
LL
Wins 0Goals 1-6

Lyon

Recent
WW
Wins 2Goals 6-1

Biggest win 4-1

  • VfL Wolfsburg0-2Lyon
  • Lyon4-1VfL Wolfsburg

Managers

D. Bauer

Germany · 43

In charge since 2025 · 4 clubs managed

  • Wolfsburg U192022–2025
  • Wolfsburg U172020–2022

Paulo Fonseca

Head coach

In charge since 2025 · 5 clubs managed

  • AC Milan2024–2024
  • Lille2022–2024
  • AS Roma2019–2021
  • Shakhtar Donetsk2016–2019

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.