Where the market is wrong on Yalova Yeşilovaspor v Gölcükspor
Yalova Yeşilovaspor meet Gölcükspor in the 3. Lig - Group 1 3. lig group 1 - 3.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 35%. Attacking output favors Gölcükspor on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Yalova Yeşilovaspor arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Gölcükspor, L 1-2 @ Galata, W 2-1 @ Beykoz İshaklıspor, L 0-3 v Tokat Bld Plevnespor.
Gölcükspor are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Yalova Yeşilovaspor, W 2-0 v Silivrispor, L 0-1 @ Amasyaspor 1968, L 1-2 @ Arnavutköy Belediyespor.
The market prices YAL at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on Gölcükspor: a 14.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
