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First NL · Regular Season - 7 · Croatia

Jadran LP v Kustosija

1-0Full time· NK Jadran, Luka Ploce

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Jadran LP v Kustosija

Jadran LP meet Kustosija in the First NL regular season - 7 at NK Jadran, Luka Ploce.

Jadran LP rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1500. Recent form leans Jadran LP, 75% against 50%. Attacking output favors Jadran LP on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.

Jadran LP arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Kustosija, W 3-2 @ Vukovar, W 1-0 v Orijent 1919, L 0-1 @ Bsk Bijelo Brdo.

Kustosija are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Jadran LP, W 1-0 v Croatia Zmijavci, L 1-2 v Bsk Bijelo Brdo, D 0-0 @ HNK Cibalia.

Jadran LP hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Jadran LP 1-0 Kustosija.

The market prices JAD at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on Kustosija: a 8.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Jadran LP

DLWWW13-4-3

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 45%

  • WHKustosija1-0
  • WAVukovar3-2
  • WHOrijent 19191-0
  • LABsk Bijelo Brdo0-1
  • DHDubrava Zagreb1-1

Kustosija

LDLWL7-6-7

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • LAJadran LP0-1
  • WHCroatia Zmijavci1-0
  • LHBsk Bijelo Brdo1-2
  • DAHNK Cibalia0-0
  • LHDinamo Zagreb U210-1

Head-to-head

7 meetings

Jadran LPrecordKustosija
6
1
0 draws

Goals

15-5

for each

Avg goals

2.9

per game

BTTS

43%

both scored

Over 2.5

43%

3+ goals

Jadran LP

Recent
WWWWWL
Wins 6Goals 15-5

Biggest win 4-1

Kustosija

Recent
LLLLLW
Wins 1Goals 5-15

Biggest win 1-0

  • Jadran LP1-0Kustosija
  • Jadran LP2-0Kustosija
  • Kustosija0-2Jadran LP
  • Jadran LP4-1Kustosija
  • Kustosija2-3Jadran LP
  • Kustosija1-0Jadran LP
  • Jadran LP3-1Kustosija

Managers

M. Krstičević

Croatia · 67

In charge since 2023 · 6 teams managed

  • Shahin Bushehr2019–2020
  • Mes Rafsanjan2015–2016
  • Zrinjski2015–2015
  • Hajduk Split2012–2013

K. Gojun

Head coach

In charge since 2024

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.